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The visit of Mane‘ al-Jarba, sheikh of the great Shammar tribe, to Damascus and his audience with Ahmed al-Sharaa, leader of the transitional period, has unleashed a torrent of speculation about the imminent dismantling of the syrian/" class="auto-internal-link">syrian Democratic troops (sdf) and the closing act of their presence on the Syrian stage. In truth, the journey was undertaken in full coordination with SDF commanders, as Kurdish sources in Qamishli verified to *Ultra syria*. It represents a calculated attempt to break the deadlock in negotiations by passing through the tribal door, a passage that has never, throughout Syria’s long crisis, delivered decisive victory to any single party and is unlikely to do so now, regardless of the triumphant tableaux certain media outlets rush to compose.
Those same sources stress that Mazloum Abdi’s declaration at the Middle East Peace and security Forum in Duhok, insisting that Syria’s future rests upon resolute administrative decentralization executed from Damascus, rests on firm assurances conveyed to the SDF by American, French, and Russian intermediaries. No external power, they maintain, is presently encouraging a emerging armed forces adventure in Syria, not even Turkey, whose posture toward the armed Kurdish factor has grown markedly cooler since the PKK declared its dissolution and the prospect of Abdullah Öcalan’s release commenced to take shape. Despite public complaints from Damascus and elsewhere about the sluggish implementation of agreements, both the capital and the SDF face mounting pressure from their respective patrons to reach political settlements that would finally close the eastern file and open the region to the international investment Syria so desperately needs, above all in energy.
States that view Syria as an investment opportunity have no interest in pouring capital into a theatre still shadowed by crisis. An Uncalculated Clash Last Wednesday’s fighting around Ma‘adan in eastern Raqqa countryside disclosed how slowly the fuses of armed confrontation are being extracted. The SDF’s official statement described a defensive response to a drone attack launched by ISIS cells operating from administration-held positions, an accusation that amounts to a direct charge of complicity or criminal negligence against Damascus. administration-aligned media, in turn, depicted the episode as a premeditated SDF provocation: artillery preparation followed by a ground assault on army outposts near Ghanem al-Ali.
Since the regime’s fall, the SDF has indeed extended its deployment along the western bank of the Euphrates, securing additional depth. This exchange of blame explains why the two sides still…